Original SoraMacro analysis of the gold market and geopolitical developments
Saturday, July 25, 2026
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Iran War Spreads to Jordan as Oil Tops $100, Gold Bid Grows
The Iran conflict widened into new territory on July 24 as Jordan's military intercepted seven missiles and six drones launched by Iran, marking the first time the kingdom has been directly targeted since the war began in February. Jordanian air defense systems and air force jets…
Newmont, the world's largest gold producer, reported second-quarter 2026 results after Thursday's market close that beat Wall Street expectations even as bullion prices fell sharply during the period. The Denver-based miner posted net income of 2.2 billion dollars, or 2.06 dollar…
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Iran Rejects Iraqi-Brokered US Ceasefire Offer, Dimming Gold's Hopes for Truce
Iran has rejected the latest US ceasefire proposal delivered through Iraqi mediation, according to Iranian and Iraqi officials cited by the New York Times, dealing a setback to diplomatic efforts just as the war between Iran, Israel and the United States entered its 13th consecut…
SoraMacroGold News
Fed Rate-Hike Odds Jump to 83% as Oil Chokepoints Widen, Gold Slumps
Gold slid toward $4,050 an ounce on Thursday as traders sharply repriced the odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September, a move that marks a distinct new leg in this week's selloff beyond the earlier Iran-funding and diplomacy headlines. According to the CME FedWat…
Thursday, July 23, 2026
SoraMacroGold News
Gold Slides 1.9% as US House Approves $95 Billion Iran War Funding
Gold futures opened sharply lower on Thursday, July 23, dropping to $4,074.60 per troy ounce, down 1.9% from Wednesday's close above $4,100. The move marks a reversal from the diplomacy-driven rally seen earlier in the week and comes as fresh developments out of Washington and th…
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Houthi Red Sea Blockade Opens Second Oil Chokepoint, Lifting Gold
A new maritime front has opened in the Middle East conflict that is distinct from the fighting between the United States, Israel and Iran, and it is now feeding directly into gold's rally. Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement declared a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia on Mond…
Wednesday, July 22, 2026
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Trump Vows Imminent Strike on Iran's Buried Nuclear Site as War Widens
President Donald Trump said Tuesday the United States will strike Iran's Pickaxe Mountain, a heavily fortified underground nuclear complex near the damaged Natanz enrichment site, "probably pretty soon" and "very heavily," raising the stakes in a war that has now stretched across…
SoraMacroGold News
Gold Jumps 1.5% as Iran Diplomacy Cools Oil, Dollar Slips
Gold staged a sharp intraday reversal on Tuesday, with XAU/USD climbing roughly 1.5% to near $4,067 during European trading as a rally in oil prices lost steam. The move came as investors grew more confident that negotiations between the United States and Iran toward a peace sett…
Tuesday, July 21, 2026
SoraMacroGold News
Houthi Embargo Threat on Saudi Arabia Reignites Gold's War Premium
Gold pushed back above $4,000 an ounce and firmed on Tuesday as a fresh escalation in the Middle East conflict overshadowed the hawkish Federal Reserve commentary that had been capping bullion's gains in recent sessions. Iran-backed Houthi militants announced a maritime embargo a…
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Trump Nears Choice Between Iran Ceasefire and Full-Scale War
The United States is approaching a binary decision point in its conflict with Iran, according to Axios reporting published on July 21. Regional mediators including Qatar, Egypt and Pakistan have presented Washington and Tehran with a proposal for a new 10-day ceasefire aimed at r…
Monday, July 20, 2026
SoraMacroGold News
Gold ETF Flows Turn Flat as Hawkish Fed Talk Offsets War Risk
Gold ETF investors essentially canceled each other out last week, with new data from the World Gold Council showing inflows of 1.668 billion dollars matched almost exactly by 1.67 billion dollars in outflows, as 16 tonnes of fresh demand was offset by the unwinding of 16.2 tonnes…
SoraMacroGeopolitical
Iran Ceasefire Collapses, Kuwait Oil Facility Hit as Gold Holds Near $4,000
Iran has said its ceasefire with the United States has effectively broken down, and military activity between the two sides intensified over the weekend in a conflict now entering its fifth month. Reported developments include a strike on a major oil facility in Kuwait and attack…