SoraMacro Briefs

Don't Be Afraid Of Midterms - Stay Bullish

S&P 500 trades near all-time highs as underlying weak market breadth reflects rate-sensitive sectors already pricing in 5.25% Treasury yields. Historically, the S&P 500 has never recorded negative 12-month returns following US midterm elections, averaging a 16.6% forward annual gain.

Mired in their worst losing streak in years, small caps could be the best way for investors to play crucial CPI data

Stuart Kaiser, of Citigroup, recommends buying iShares Russell 2000 exchange-traded fund call options before the consumer-price index for September is released on Wednesday.

Fed officials want to hold off a rate hike this month. Will this week's inflation data let them?

A troubling rise in prices might trigger an interest-rate move at the Fed's meeting in late October.

Trump's Russian-Diesel Move Draws Pushback, Skepticism

Plus, retailers are spending tariff refunds on pre-holiday marketing, and China's Geely is planning to sell EVs to Canadians next year.

India's retail inflation jumps to 5.54% in September, above estimates

India's consumer price inflation increased to 5.54% in September from 4.82% in August. India's central bank expects core inflation to be at 4.4% for the financial year ending March 2027 and headline inflation at 5.2%, higher than its medium-term target of 4%.

Trump turns to Russian diesel ahead of midterms, but analysts see little price relief

Oil prices eased on Monday after Donald Trump declared an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine on Truth Social. It comes after he struck a deal for Russia to supply diesel, as energy costs weigh on voter sentiment ahead of the midterm elections.

The bond market is doing the Fed's job, and that could be good news for stocks, says Morgan Stanley strategist

A stronger dollar, higher bond market yields and elevated gas prices are already tightening financial conditions in the U.S. to the point that Kevin Warsh may not even need to hike rates.

Here's why Goldman Sachs just flipped bullish on stocks for the rest of the year

Goldman Sachs is leaning more heavily into stocks for the remainder of the year. That's down to earnings and a market that has overall gotten cheaper.

Stocks Rise as Oil Eases After Russian Diesel Deal Despite Middle East Tension

U.S. stock futures rose as oil prices eased despite fresh attacks on Saudi Arabia, after Trump announced an energy ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.

Oil Prices Fall as Traders Weigh Russian Diesel Deal, Middle East Supply Risks

Oil fell as traders weighed prospects for increased Russian diesel supplies and a potential Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire against persistent Middle East supply risks.

China Plays Critical Role in Global AI Supply Chain, Domestic AI Ecosystem

The technology gap between China and the West seems to be narrowing, Goldman Sachs said.

Oil falls after Trump declares 'energy ceasefire' between Russia and Ukraine

President Donald Trump said that Russia and Ukraine will not be targeting each other's energy facilities. Al Jazeera reported that Iran was ready to provide assistance to help with the start of dialogue between Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis.